The Official Hudson Valley Weather Forecast
Sunday, November 29, 2015
A MAJOR ICE STORM DOWN TEXAS WAY EQUALS SUNNY AND WARM IN THE HUDSON VALLEY DAY AFTER DAY! THE WORSE THE WEATHER IN TEXAS, THE BETTER THE WEATHER IN ROCKLAND, WESTCHESTER, PUTNAM, WESTERN CONNECTICUT AND NEW YORK CITY!
SURE ENOUGH, EXACTLY AS WE PREDICTED WAY BACK IN EARLY SEPTEMBER – IT WAS THE WARMEST NOVEMBER ON RECORD – AND THERE’S POSITIVELY NO WINTRY WEATHER IN SIGHT. IN FACT, THE FIRST HALF OF DECEMBER WILL BE UNSEASONABLY MILD, AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE END OF THE MONTH!
This Afternoon: Mostly sunny, breezy and cool. High: 43-48.
Tonight: Crystal clear and cold. Low: 27-32.
Monday: Mostly sunny and cool. High: 40-45.
Monday Night: Mostly cloudy and not as cold. Low: 35-40.
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy and milder; occasional rain in the afternoon. High: 50-55.
Wednesday: Light rain in the morning, then partly sunny and continued mild. High: 50-55.
Thursday: Partly sunny, breezy and cooler. High: 45-50.
Friday: Mostly sunny and cool. High: 42-47.
Saturday: Mostly sunny and milder. High: 45-50.
LITCHFIELD HILLS WEATHER CENTER – P.O. Box 69, New Milford, CT 06776 914-582-5935 / www.weather workshops.org / firstname.lastname@example.org
THE OFFICIAL LONG-RANGE WEATHER FORECAST FOR THE MID AND LOWER HUDSON VALLEY, NEW YORK
Sponsored by Pete’s Roofing and Gutters
Revised Forecast – November 4, 2015 – December through February is the same forecast as as broadcast on WRCR AM-1700, Columbus Day, October 12, 2015
Mark Hanok, Meteorologist
Temperatures above normal
Precipitation below normal
December will begin with strong west to northwest winds around a deep, stationary upper-level trough over eastern Canada, with sunny to partly sunny skies and near-normal temperatures in the Hudson Valley; highs in the 30’s, but 20’s over higher elevations. Unseasonably warm air will quickly return during the second week; partly sunny and dry followed by light rain and highs in the 50’s and 60’s. The rain will rapidly change to wet snow as an Ohio Valley storm redevelops and intensifies off the mid-Atlantic coast on December 11th through 14th, Rockland and Westchester could pick up a few inches of snow but higher elevations of Orange and Durchess Counties may get over a foot of snow. This will prove to be a very tricky weather situation, as much warmer air aloft, lifts up and over very cold air at the surface, with ideal conditions for a major ice storm on the 18th through 21st. Rockland and southern and central Westchester will likely get all rain but just to the north over Dutchess and Orange Counties may get very icy conditions. The atmosphere will continue with its usual antics the day before Christmas Eve and on Christmas Eve with partly sunny skies and highs approaching 70 degrees, low 60’s over higher elevations. The unseasonably mild air will stay in place right through December 29th followed by rainy and slightly cooler but above normal temperatures through New Year’s Eve.
Precipitation above normal
With the jet stream retreating far to the north and a west to east zonal flow, the brand-new year will begin with a very quiet and dry weather pattern and temperatures at least ten degrees above normal as highs will be in the upper 30’s and 40’s much of the time during the first ten days of the month. A fast-moving Alberta Clipper will move eastward from the northern Great Plains to western New York on the 7th to 10th, with a mild southwesterly flow ahead of the low, with rain followed by a quick 2” to 4” of snow in the colder air behind the storm. After seasonably cold, dry weather for the middle of the month, a major storm in the center of the nation will move well to the north and west of Lake Ontario and bring a return to very mild air with highs in the 50’s in the Hudson Valley, with partly sunny skies followed by heavy rains and winds gusting over 40 MPH. Cold, arctic air will wrap around the storm system, with 4”-8” of snow on the 20th to the 23rd and highs in the teens and 20’s. An intense storm will track northeastward to the South Carolina coast during the last week of January, completely missing the Hudson Valley and bringing one to two feet of snow from eastern Virginia to central North Carolina. At the same time we‘ll enjoy partly sunny, dry weather with seasonable temperatures , followed by moderately cold and dry for the last week of January.
Temperatures above normal
Precipitation below normal
Another Alberta Clipper will slice southeastward to the western Great Lakes on a strong northwesterly jet stream and bring moderately cold air to the Hudson Valley during the first week of February, with generally dry conditions but occasional snow showers and highs in the 30’s except 20’s over higher elevations. A powerful storm system will push eastward to western New York bringing very mild air ahead of the low during the second week of February. In fact, the mercury could soar to 60 degrees with partly sunny skies followed by spring-like rains. Fine February weather will take over during the middle of the month with a trend toward seasonably cold air; highs in the upper 30’s to low 40’s, as high pressure builds southward from eastern Canada. On the 16th through 18th a storm will develop unusually far to the south, as the jet stream will be across the Gulf States, with over a foot of snow as far south as northern Alabama and northern and central Georgia. While it’s cold and snowy to the south, it’s unseasonably warm far to the north from North Dakota to Minnesota and east to the Great Lakes, and this kind of warm-to-the-north cold-to-the-south weather pattern will only enhance the very dry weather pattern in the Hudson Valley, with one sunny day after another, during the second half of February. But the month will end very differently, with a major storm tracking eastward from the Ohio Valley and southern New England, pulling down arctic air. After a 10” snowfall in Rockland and Westchester and to 15” to 20” snow over higher elevations in Dutchess, Orange and Putnam Counties, winds will gust to 50 and even 60 MPH as bright sunshine takes over on February 27th to 29th with highs just in the low 20’s.